Observations

Observations after Round 23* (see picture - click below for larger graphic)

• We finally have 4 teams safe in the finals, others can all fall out
  
• Still all except 3 teams able to make it into the 8
• 4 teams can get the wooden spoon, the rest are safe
• Only 4 teams can finish on top
  
  
• *Assumes Storm win on Monday - check back later if Knights win

NRL - 2009 - Round 23

See Previous Rounds (larger graphic)

• 2009 - Round 23
• 2009 - Round 22
• 2009 - Round 21
• 2009 - Round 20
• 2009 - Round 19


• 2008 - Round 24
• 2008 - Round 23
• 2008 - Round 22
• 2008 - Round 21
• 2008 - Round 20
• 2008 - Round 19
  

Services we provideNRL Analysis

 see the AFL Version here

I have written some software that looks at the NRL ladder and all the remaining games and calculates where each team can possibly finish, based on their remaining games and the possible game results of their competitors.

This is something that is often considered during the final rounds each year as teams jockey for position to see who can make the final 8, who is guaranteed a spot, who may finish on top of the ladder etc etc. It is a difficult task to calculate from too many weeks out due to the number of possible combinations of results but I have used a mixture of logic, programming and computing power to establish the possible outcomes.

The calculations are:

• If a team WINS all of their remaining games, how HIGH can they possibly finish?
  
• If a team WINS all of their remaining games, how LOW might they still fall?
  
• If a team LOSES all of their remaining games, how HIGH can they still climb?
  
• If a team LOSES all of their remaining games, how LOW can they possibly finish?

Observations after Round 23* (see picture - click below for larger graphic)

• We finally have 4 teams safe in the finals, others can all fall out
  
• Still all except 3 teams able to make it into the 8
• 4 teams can get the wooden spoon, the rest are safe
• Only 4 teams can finish on top
  
  
• *Assumes Storm win on Monday - check back later if Knights win

(Assumptions – A team is capable of reaching the top/bottom of a group based on their points difference when overall points are equal. No consideration of how likely/unlikely a combination of results are, just that the results ARE mathematically possible)

As we move past the midway point of the season, are these results something that you would be interested in seeing on a weekly basis to contribute to the paper, club, publication or website to help see how teams may possibly fare by the end of the season?

Please let me know and I will be happy to send these results after each round finishes as we move further through the season.